Two Player Prediction Wagering

A bet is a tax on bullshit; and it is a just tax, tribute paid by the bullshitters to those with genuine knowledge. – Alex Tabarrok This year, twenty three billion (with a B) dollars was wagered on the Super Bowl. Almost all of this was through informal channels, such as friends at a kickback. I’d guess that many of these bets were informal “50-50”...

Gaining An Edge In Dice

People have vices. One of those is gambling. Whether it’s a poker night, a super bowl bet, or picking investments, everyone gambles. This isn’t anything new either, people have been gambling for thousands of years [1]. In recent years, as compute power has gotten more accessible, incredible bodies of analysis have been produced to better understand the games we wager on (or just play for...

How I've been using GPT

In the last few months, anyone who has been paying attention has heard of GPT, and their parent company, OpenAI. GPT-4 was just released just a few months ago, with an order of magnitude more parameters than it’s previous version. While we’ve seen other technically impressive Generative AI products in the past, none have captivated the mainstream’s attention as much as ChatGPT, the GPT chatbot....